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Iran's winner of power war in the Middle East?

Syrian Civil War, Yemen's War and Strait Harms: The balance of power is changing in the Middle East. Iran has used these changes wisely in its favor, and Tehran could become a new force with a leadership role in the region. The US has withdrawn from northern Syria in the military context, but the diplomatic field still exists. After talks with US Vice President Mike Pence, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdo ۔an announced that Turkey was ready for a five-day ceasefire in its military operations in northern Syria.




According to the Syrian Kurds, the ceasefire, although not practically what the Turkish cabinet has supported in Ankara, is also true, given that Turkish President Erdo اعلانan's declaration is possible only after considerable US diplomatic efforts. Could What is not clear is whether this ceasefire announcement will be truly respected. It is unclear whether the White House thought that Vice President Mike Pence's visit to Turkey was a new phase of US political and diplomatic efforts in the region, or perhaps the last effort aimed at northern Syria. The withdrawal of the US military may not be a strategic decision, at least in a hurry. But it is undoubtedly true that the United States has clearly and clearly cut down its efforts in the Middle East, and the side effects that began after that have long been prolonged.

One aspect of these side effects is that new centers of power and new centers of power are now being established in the region. Most importantly, no other state in the region appears to be more convinced than Iran that it is determined to exploit these changing conditions in its own right. Iran's new self-esteem claimed responsibility for the September 14 attacks on missiles and drones on Saudi Arabia's oil installations, though Saudi Arabia and the United States blamed Iran for pro-Houthi rebels in Yemen. Which was also strongly denied by Tehran. Despite this denial, Iranian critics' suspicion of Tehran in this regard was not completely eliminated. One thing is quite clear in this background, according to the Israeli newspaper 'Harriet', that if Iran had truly ordered these attacks, it would have done so with a much greater sense of self-confidence.

"The Iranians will not launch these attacks on Saudi Arabia not because it is their new political policy from Tehran or because it has found a new weapon, but because it is Tehran," writes Haritz. He knew that US President Trump would not stand very close to Saudi Arabia as a close ally of his country. ”In the Saudi-American military alliance, the signs of softening were beginning to appear long enough. The United States would send a very calm attitude by the Navy's fleet to the Gulf, which was almost obvious to Tehran. The Iranian leadership also realized after detailed observation that Saudi Arabia's Saudi citizen and journalist, Jamal Khashkaji, had been killed and before the start of the Yemeni war, Saudi Arabia had paid its price in the US Congress. The sympathy found for them had to pay off in the event of a severe decline. Iran's lack of clear thinking on the Syrian conflict is also closely monitoring America's weaknesses in Syria.

According to Tehran, the United States has no clear plan for a war-torn Syria. On the contrary, if Russia and Iran appear to be political winners with regard to Syria's civil war today, it is because they have adopted a measured and consistent policy regarding this Middle East state from the very beginning. According to the journal Foreign Policy, published in the US capital Washington, "Russia and Iran have taken a clear, limited and actionable approach to the Syrian civil war from the beginning. Their intention was that President Bashar al-Assad should remain in power at all costs. "The result of this thinking is that Assad is still in power today and Russia and Iran are still in Syria and should be ignored in the future. It is unlikely that Russia and Iran will remain in Syria. Decision-making forces in Damascus

The influence of Russia and Iran on the Damascus government is so great that they influence decisions that are felt in Europe as well. What will be the next Assad regime decision, when to wait, when to make a major decision, and what will be the Damascus government's next move on northern Syria after Turkey's military intervention in the Kurds' affairs. Assad is not alone in Damascus. With the same sense of military force in the region, Iran can now afford to adopt friendly procedures with its neighboring states and other countries in the region. Given these factors and circumstances, the question does not seem to be irrational whether Iran has won the war of power and influence in the Middle East. Cairston Co. (m / h)

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